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KMID : 0380120000230020117
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Korean Journal of Ecology
2000 Volume.23 No. 2 p.117 ~ p.123
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Possibility of Climate Change and Simulation of Soil Moisture Content on Mt. Hallasan National Park, Chejudo Island, Korea
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Kim Eun-Shik
Kim Young-Sun
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Abstract
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Changing patterns and the possibility of climate change in the area of Chejudo island, the southernmost Island in Korea, were analyzed using daily temperature and precipitation data observed at the Cheju Regional Meteorological Office from may 1923 to December 1998. A hydrologic simulation model "BROOK" was used to simulate and analyze the dynamics of daily soil moisture content and soil moisture deficit by applying the daily weather data. During the period, significantly increasing pattern was observed in temperature data of both annual and monthly basis, while no significantly changing pattern was observed in precipitation data. During the last 76 years, mean annual temperature was observed to have risen about 1.4℃, which may show the possibility of the initiation of climate change on the island whose validity should be tested in future studies after long-term studies on temperature. Based on the simulation, due to increased temperature, significant increase was predicted in evapotranspiration, while no significant decrease was detected in simulated soil moisture content during the period. Changing pattern of annual soil moisture content was markedly different from those of precipitation. In some dominant trees, negative effects of the drought of the late season for the previous year were shown to be statistically significant to radial growth of the tree for the current year. As annual variatoin of radial growth of trees is mainly affected by the soil moisture content, the information on the dynamics of soil moisture deficit possibly provides us with useful information for the interpretation of tree growth decline on the mountain.
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